This is Jackson Dill’s final forecast for GOOD Morning Wilton. For the last two years, Jackson’s Weather has been an indispensable part of GMW’s community, and we wish him well as he prepares to start college at the University of Miami. Thank you Jackson and best of luck!
A very stormy, humid, and seasonable stretch of weather is in store for Wilton this week (July 23-29) as Mother Nature seems to be confusing New England with the deep tropics of the Caribbean.
Monday, July 23: On Monday, a few lingering showers and storms from Sunday night’s rain will be possible mainly in the morning hours. Then I think the afternoon will be dry with partly sunny skies overhead. It will be another windy day like the weekend, but at least it will be a warm, comfortable, tropical-like wind as temperatures rise into the upper 70s midday. This air mass that will dominate this entire week will make the temperature pattern interesting because the majority of the 24 hour days will feature temperatures into the 70s. The reason: a continuous flow of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea won’t allow for temperatures to moderate much.
Tuesday, July 24: Tuesday is actually looking quite nice. If you glance at the weather app, you will still see that thunderstorm icon present, but it’s important to know the context. Yes, a thunderstorm or shower will still be possible, especially in the afternoon, but I think most or potentially all of the day Tuesday will be dry thanks to the Bermuda High shifting the moisture axis to our west. Therefore, expect a blend of sun and clouds, slightly weaker winds, high humidity, and a high temperature into the low 80s.
Wednesday, July 25: Again on Wednesday, the risk for thunderstorms will exist in the afternoon. The chance for rain will be slightly higher than on Tuesday at 50%, because that axis of the most rich moisture will begin to drift back to the east. Otherwise, expect clouds to increase as the day progresses. Winds will remain gusty but it will be that warm, humid wind.
Thursday, July 26: Wednesday night into Thursday is the time period I am most concerned about flash flooding because heavy rain and thunderstorms are likely, especially early-to-late-Thursday morning. By this time period, the ground will already be saturated so the soil won’t be able to handle much additional rainfall, especially if it falls at a fast clip. Over one inch of rain will be possible. Into the afternoon hours, we should begin to dry out with skies gradually clearing while winds weaken.
Friday, July 27: Despite that clearing Thursday afternoon, we’ll now be watching a cold front coming in from our north and west. This will usher in yet another round of showers and thunderstorms. I think that round will move in Friday afternoon but that timing may change when forecasting this far out in time. What’s an easier forecast is the high temperature. It will likely get up and into the low- to mid-80s midday.
Saturday, July 28: Thankfully the cold front will move completely through Friday night, allowing for a beautiful weekend as high pressure builds in from behind. This high pressure will allow for mostly sunny skies for our Saturday. Not only will weather conditions be dry but the air will be as well. Dew points will plunge from the humid 70s to the pleasant 50s.
Sunday, July 29: Saturday’s same forecast will apply to our Sunday, with mostly sunny skies, dry air, and a high temperature at around 80 degrees currently forecast. What perfect timing for the yucky air mass to clear out just in time for the weekend!